[BoxOfficeTheory Presale Tracking](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/page/654/#comments)
[**USA Showtimes As of March 15**](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/?do=findComment&comment=4658510)
**DOMESTIC PRESALES**
**Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire Average Thursday Comp *assuming $4M for keysersoze123*: $4.97M**
– abracadabra1998 ($4.5M Thursday Comp.)
– Charlie Jatinder ($4.59M Thursday MTC2 Comp. In MiniTC2, the Dune Part 2 comp for GBFE will be $1.8M *[(I don’t know what day Charlie is referring to)]* and here Dune was an under-performer. MTC1 comp for Dune Part 2 be $3.2M for THU alone & $2.6M including EA (March 10).
– dallas ($10.57M Thursday comp. $40M+ opening might be possible. Probably over indexing in my area though due to fan rush. (March 3).)
– el sid (Tickets sold in 7 theaters: 161. Comps (both films counted for Friday): Uncharted had 276 sold tickets with 16 days left and G: A had 457 sold tickets with 5 days left = 34% at the moment with 12 days left for Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire to come closer or overtake.)
– Inceptionzq ($5.95M Denver+Drafthouse+Emagine Thursday Comp. $6.15M Denver Thursday Comp. $5.59M/$17.01M/$26.53M/$19.94M Drafthouse Thursday/Friday/Saturday/Sunday Comp. $6.10M/$23.82M/$22.54M/$19.69M Emagine Thursday/Friday/Saturday/Sunday Comp.)
– jeffthehat ($5.32M Combined Thursday Comp. $4.03M Malco and $6.6M Indiana Thursday comp. $7.7M/$11.8M Malco Friday/Saturday Comp.
– katnisscinnaplex ($3.72M Thursday comp.)
– keysersoze123 (Friday pace went down a bit and I would have thought by this point Friday would be way higher to have good IM. Unless we see some big acceleration this week I think its going to be below afterlife for both previews/Friday. One thing going for this movie is it will have $5 deal for Tmobile/Atom next week. For now I am thinking 4ish previews and low/mid 30s OW (March 12). Dune 2 comps are under $3M (March 11).)
– leoh (Here in NY some theaters with PLFs halls have screenings almost sold out. It’ll take all Dolby Cinema halls and most of IMAX screens.)
– M37 (Analysis: Friday sales (relative to Thur) softer than Wonka, suggesting ~$10.5 TFri, about 15% below Afterlife TFri (so lower IM). Overall, low to mid $30s TruFFS, higher $30s OW barring some change in pace/trajectory.)
– Porthos ($4.29M Thursday comp.)
– TheFlatLannister ($4.58M Thursday comp. $6.68M Thursday Orlando Comp. Another big increase (March 10).)
– vafrow ($2.2M Thursday comp. Continues to fall. )
**Immaculate Thursday Comp: $0.14M**
– katnisscinnaplex ($0.14M Thursday Comp)
**Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire Thursday Comp *assuming $9M for keysersoze123 and excluding vafrow*: $6.90M**
– abracadabra1998 ($5.31M Thursday comp. Not super helpful other than that BoSS Thursday comp ($8.3M), which did go down, though that movie was hot as hell here throughout its whole pre-sales run. Also really healthy non-MTC1 % right off the gate.)
– Charlie Jatinder ($10.03M MiniTC2 Thursday Comp. Another strong day of sales.)
– katnisscinnaplex ($6.28M Thursday Comp.)
– keysersoze123 (Solid Day 3. It may not have much of a steady state PS run considering such a short cycle (March 14). Its quite good. 80% of Dune. But that wont be a good comp as this will be more backloaded than Dune. I am expecting 9ish previews and 60-65m OW.)
– leoh (Talking about NY AMC theaters, nothing suggests GxB can get anywhere close to a 60M OW. GxK did well within first 3/4 hours of sales but didn’t keep up the pace. Too early to take any conclusion of course but I’d say it seems it will open with a BO similar to the OW of 2021 and 2019 monster-verse movies (March 13))
– Porthos ($5.71M Thursday Day 2 Comp. In Sacramento the PLF:All Showings ratio is 36:120. Goes up a bit depending on how one counts DBOX seating.)
– TheFlatLannister ($5.09M Thursday Comp. Several showings still listed as “sold-out” so sales will be depressed for now.)
– vafrow ($17.5M Thursday Comp. It’s settling in a bit, but still doing well. For entire GTA region, not getting any regular screens for Thursday previews, and only a handful matinee regular screenings over the weekend. PLF is either Dolby (3D or regular), IMAX, 4DX or VIP theatres.)
**The Monkey Man Thursday Comp: $1.75M**
– abracadabra1998 ($1.75M Thursday Comp. The one downside is that Friday doesn’t look as strong right now. This probably will be a bit more front loaded. Good numbers but it’s quite literally all Alamo and MTC1 sales and I am certainly overindexing.)
– el sid (I expected a bit better presales but overall that’s still a quite good number.)
– jeffthehat (Fall Guy starts about 2x Monkey Man first day in sales and shows.)
– keysersoze123 (Fall Guy and Monkey Man have almost identical Thursday preview presales at this point. Fall Guy does have Wednesday IMAX Early Access though. (March 12).)
– vafrow (The initial reactions didn’t do too much. This will probably only see activity as we get closer (March 13). Not bad.)
**The Fall Guy EA+Thursday Comp (DO NOT TAKE SERIOUSLY): $4.31M**
– abracadabra1998 ($4.11M Thursday Comp. Really solid start here. MTC1 driving all Thursday sales and Alamo driving around 90% of EA, so heads up: this market might overperform on Day 1 against other Alamo-less markets.)
– jeffthehat (Fall Guy starts about 2x Monkey Man first day in sales and shows.)
– katnisscinnaplex ($1.17M Thursday Comp.)
– keysersoze123 (Fall Guy and Monkey Man have almost identical Thursday preview presales at this point. Fall Guy does have Wednesday IMAX Early Access though. (March 12).)
– Porthos (That it’s sold anything at all is noteworthy. Beyond that? “Eh.”)
– vafrow ($7.65M Wednesday EA+Thursday Comp. Still not dealing with numbers big enough to be useful.)
**Domestic Calendar Dates:**
– (Mar. 20) Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire Social Media and Review Embargo Lifts (10 AM EST)
– (Mar. 21) Thursday previews [Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire]
– (Mar. 22) Opening Friday screenings [Luca]
– (Mar. 22) Civil War + Star Wars Episode I Re-Release Presales Start
– (Mar. 25) Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire Social Media Embargo lifts (10:30 PM PST)
– (Mar. 28) Thursday previews [Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire + In the Land of Saints and Sinners]
– (Apr. 4) Thursday previews [Monkey Man + The First Omen]
– (Apr. 8) Civil War Wednesday IMAX Early Access
– (Apr. 11) Thursday previews [Civil War + Don’t Tell Mom the Babysitter’s Dead + Shrek 2 20th Anniversary]
– (Apr. 12) Challengers Presales Start
– (Apr. 18) Thursday previews [Abigail + The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare + Spy x Family Code: White + Villains Inc. + Wildfire: The Legend of the Cherokee Ghost Horse + Sasquatch Sunset]
– (Apr. 25) Thursday previews [Challengers + Unsung Hero]
– (May 1) Fall Guy Wednesday IMAX Early Access
– (May 2) Thursday previews [The Fall Guy + Star Wars Ep. I: The Phantom Menace + Tarot]
**Presale Tracking Posts:**
[March 2](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1b53knv/domestic_presale_tracking_march_2_thursday_comps/?ref=share&ref_source=link)
[March 5](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/s/12lJw0gQt5)
[March 7](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/s/pt6IEv2x0J)
[March 9](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1bb4z8p/domestic_presale_tracking_march_9_thursday_comps/?ref=share&ref_source=link)
[March 12](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1bddzll/domestic_presale_tracking_march_12_thursday_comps/?ref=share&ref_source=link)
[March 16](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1bf59he/domestic_presale_tracking_march_14_final_thursday/?ref=share&ref_source=link)
Note: I have removed tracking data that has not been updated for 2 weeks. I think there is value in keeping data for a week or two but at a certain point they start to lose their value and should not be treated the same as more recent tracking data.
Source: self.boxoffice
https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1bgk3r3/domestic_presale_tracking_march_16_thursday/
![Tickets for Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire are now on sale. [Fandango]](https://dailyshare.site/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/vjdd8e2hf4oc1.jpeg)